Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 19 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 111 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 78 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 39 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 2:18PM EDT until March 16 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Urban PEI: 286,571 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 1.7 km
- May 9, 2026 · score 43 · 3.7 km
- March 16, 2026 · score 43 · 3.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.77/1 |
| Coordinates | 29.4567, -81.1673 |
| Nearest City | Palm Coast (14 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 286.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T18:18:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aa4153f4b811019dc8d54549cceef226 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-03-16T18:18:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-03-16T18:20:16.776Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lake, FL; Orange, FL; Seminole, FL; Volusia, FL; Orange, FL; Osceola, FL; Seminole, FL; Clay, FL; Putnam, FL; St. Johns, FL and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 2:18PM EDT until March 16 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T14:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Melbourne FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aa4153f4b811019dc8d54549cceef22679ac32d5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f584f6200f6b8c2294fcba293d92fe9609e06950.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.618d59244497869c46469c0b635eb5713ac87b85.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.af30c999576faea7e11dabc117c2a2eec662f2b1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec7880923001f3456382812b242f179864c07995.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b618d405413e2727d12ade6a9f869b1802b577a0.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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